Compound Growth Plan — HSTECH ORB v2 + HSI Gap Continuation

403 trades over 35 months (Jul 2023 – May 2026)  •  Fixed-fraction sizing: 50% of equity per strategy at 1×  •  Agree days (2.0×): 100% per strategy = 200% notional (no broker margin — 2× leverage embedded in ETF)  •  Win rate: 79.9%  •  Profit factor: 4.47  •  Backtest CAGR: 52.8%  •  Simple annual: +82.3%  •  Max DD: −6.73%

HKD 200K Start
Starting: HKD 200,000
HKD 667,185
+233.6%   CAGR 52.8%
Profit: HKD 467,185
over 35 months
HKD 300K Start
Starting: HKD 300,000
HKD 1,000,773
+233.6%   CAGR 52.8%
Profit: HKD 700,773
over 35 months
HKD 400K Start
Starting: HKD 400,000
HKD 1,334,370
+233.6%   CAGR 52.8%
Profit: HKD 934,370
over 35 months

Compound Growth — All Starting Capitals (indexed to 100 = starting equity)  |  Identical % growth regardless of starting amount

Absolute Equity (HKD) — Backtest + 5-Year Projection at backtest CAGR

Strategy 1 — HSTECH Opening Range Breakout (ORB)

Setup window 09:30–10:00 HKT — track highest high & lowest low of all HSTECH bars Trigger First bar to close above the ORB high (long) or below the ORB low (short) Filters Both must agree at first break: MACD histogram > 0 for long / < 0 for short  •  Breadth: advance > decline ratio Instruments 07226 (2× HSTECH bull) for longs  •  07552 (2× HSTECH bear) for shorts Exit Hold to end-of-day (16:00 HKT) — no fixed TP/SL; daily momentum captured in full Regime: agree HSI gap direction matches ORB direction → scale both strategies to Regime: conflict Directions oppose → HSTECH runs at , HSI gap trade skipped for that day No-trade rule If filters fail on the first break → no HSTECH trade that day (prevents late re-entries)

Strategy 2 — HSI Overnight Gap Continuation

Setup Measure overnight gap between previous close and today's open (HSI index) Filter Gap must be within configured min/max % bounds — too small = noise; too large = event risk Entry 09:35 HKT (5 min after open) in gap direction  •  07200 bull / 07500 bear TP1 (40% exit) At 40% of gap×2×lev — sell 40% of position; locks in first profit tranche Trail (60%) Remaining 60% trails a 0.40σ stop below the running high — rides extended moves Stop-loss Hard SL at 1.0× gap×lev below entry (full gap back = invalidation) SL Reversal If SL is hit before 14:30 → immediately enter opposite ETF and hold to EOD (fade the move) Agree scale-up When HSTECH ORB fires in same direction → add +1× to the HSI position (total 2×)

Monthly Return % — All 3 Starting Capitals

Monthly P&L (HKD) — HKD 200K · HKD 300K · HKD 400K

Position Size Quick-Reference — Shares to Enter in Futu (min unit = 100 shares = 1 board lot)

HKD 200K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.08,300 (83L)
07552 @10.010,000 (100L)
07200 @6.016,600 (166L)
07500 @5.518,100 (181L)
HKD 300K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.012,500 (125L)
07552 @10.015,000 (150L)
07200 @6.025,000 (250L)
07500 @5.527,200 (272L)
HKD 400K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.016,600 (166L)
07552 @10.020,000 (200L)
07200 @6.033,300 (333L)
07500 @5.536,300 (363L)
How fixed-fraction compounding works: Each trade deploys 50% of current account equity per strategy at 1× — solo day: half of equity per side; agree day (2×): full equity per side. As profits accumulate, position sizes grow proportionally — compounding happens automatically. • Verified numbers (Jul 2023 – May 2026, 35 months, 403 trades): Total P&L +HKD 467,185 on 200K base → +233.6% total → CAGR 52.8% → +82.3%/yr simple. Max drawdown −HKD 13,465 (−6.73%). April 2025 had zero trades (Trump tariff gap −13.2% outside 0.1–2.5% entry range — strategy sat out the worst month naturally). • How to place in Futu: enter the shares figure directly — min unit is 100 shares (1 board lot). • No margin needed: 2× leverage is inside the ETF; you never borrow. • Caution: backtest covers a 2.84-year window. Out-of-sample returns will differ.

Per-Trade Shares to Enter in Futu — HKD 200K Starting Capital   Shares grow as equity compounds  |  Solo/conflict = 25% of equity  |  Agree = 50% each  |  min unit = 100 shares (1 board lot)

DateStrategyETFRegime PriceShares
(÷100 = lots)
Notional% Equity P&LEquity After
2023-07-05HSTECH7552solo6.37115,600
156 lots
99,38850%+825200,825
2023-07-06SL_REV7552⚡CONF6.46515,500
155 lots
100,20850%+2,842203,667
2023-07-06HSTECH7226⚡CONF4.90341,500
415 lots
203,474100%-1,671201,996
2023-07-11HSI7200▲AGREE3.87152,100
521 lots
201,679100%+785202,781
2023-07-11HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.88141,500
415 lots
202,562100%-1,242201,539
2023-07-12HSI7200solo3.91525,700
257 lots
100,61650%+334201,873
2023-07-13HSI7200solo4.07124,700
247 lots
100,55450%+1,537203,410
2023-07-14HSTECH7552⚡CONF5.77635,200
352 lots
203,315100%+664204,074
2023-07-19HSTECH7226⚡CONF4.98540,900
409 lots
203,886100%+2,338206,412
2023-07-24HSI7500solo5.29119,500
195 lots
103,17450%+1,027207,439
2023-07-27HSI7200solo4.18124,800
248 lots
103,68950%+740208,179
2023-07-28SL_REV7200solo4.25824,400
244 lots
103,89550%+2,643210,822
2023-07-28HSI7500solo5.00621,000
210 lots
105,12650%-1,536209,286
2023-07-31HSI7200solo4.48923,300
233 lots
104,59450%+626209,912
2023-08-01HSI7200solo4.51123,200
232 lots
104,65550%+32209,944
2023-08-03HSI7500solo5.00120,900
209 lots
104,52150%+6209,950
2023-08-04HSI7200solo4.26124,600
246 lots
104,82150%+482210,432
2023-08-08HSI7500solo5.03120,900
209 lots
105,14850%+982211,414
2023-08-09SL_REV7200solo4.03426,200
262 lots
105,69150%+20211,434
2023-08-09HSI7500solo5.19120,300
203 lots
105,37750%-1,037210,397
2023-08-10HSI7500solo5.18120,300
203 lots
105,17450%+22210,419
2023-08-14HSI7500solo5.39119,500
195 lots
105,12450%-251210,168
2023-08-15HSI7500solo5.42619,300
193 lots
104,72250%+122210,290
2023-08-16HSI7500solo5.62118,700
187 lots
105,11350%-198210,092
2023-08-17HSI7500solo5.75118,200
182 lots
104,66850%+1,081211,173
2023-08-18HSI7500solo5.72118,400
184 lots
105,26650%+582211,755
2023-08-21HSI7500solo5.95117,700
177 lots
105,33350%+96211,851
2023-08-24HSI7200solo3.54129,900
299 lots
105,87650%+118211,969
2023-08-25HSI7500solo5.76118,300
183 lots
105,42650%+156212,125
2023-08-29HSI7200▲AGREE3.64158,200
582 lots
211,906100%+3,401215,526
2023-08-29HSTECH7226▲AGREE5.15141,800
418 lots
215,312100%+2,209217,735
2023-08-30HSI7200solo3.80128,600
286 lots
108,70950%+135217,870
2023-09-04HSI7200▲AGREE3.76957,800
578 lots
217,848100%+899218,769
2023-09-04HSTECH7226▲AGREE5.33640,900
409 lots
218,242100%+765219,534
2023-09-05HSI7500▲AGREE5.32141,200
412 lots
219,225100%+1,466221,000
2023-09-05HSTECH7552▲AGREE5.48140,300
403 lots
220,884100%+4,159225,159
2023-09-07HSTECH7552solo5.81619,300
193 lots
112,24950%+1,025226,184
2023-09-11HSI7500solo5.73119,700
197 lots
112,90150%+551226,735
2023-09-13HSTECH7552⚡CONF5.94638,100
381 lots
226,543100%+3,056229,791
2023-09-14SL_REV7226solo4.81223,800
238 lots
114,52650%-253229,538
2023-09-14HSTECH7552solo6.02619,000
190 lots
114,49450%-955228,583
2023-09-15HSI7200solo3.62331,500
315 lots
114,12450%+579229,162
2023-09-18HSI7500solo5.69120,100
201 lots
114,38950%+613229,775
2023-09-19HSTECH7552solo6.30618,200
182 lots
114,76950%-961228,814
2023-09-19SL_REV7226solo4.58824,900
249 lots
114,24150%+442229,256
2023-09-21HSTECH7552solo6.57117,400
174 lots
114,33550%+960230,216
2023-09-27HSTECH7226solo4.28726,800
268 lots
114,89250%+361230,577
2023-09-29HSI7200solo3.33134,600
346 lots
115,25350%+1,399231,976
2023-10-03HSI7500solo5.96619,400
194 lots
115,74050%+2,407234,383
2023-10-06HSI7200▲AGREE3.25172,000
720 lots
234,072100%+2,557236,940
2023-10-06SL_REV7552▲AGREE6.70017,600
176 lots
117,92050%-740236,200
2023-10-06HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.20156,200
562 lots
236,096100%-1,853234,347
2023-10-10HSI7200solo3.40134,400
344 lots
116,99450%+1,318235,665
2023-10-11HSI7200solo3.49933,600
336 lots
117,56650%-89235,576
2023-10-13HSTECH7552▲AGREE6.33137,200
372 lots
235,513100%+1,997237,573
2023-10-13HSI7500▲AGREE5.70141,600
416 lots
237,162100%+2,383239,956
2023-10-17HSI7200solo3.43934,800
348 lots
119,67750%-472239,484
2023-10-19HSI7500solo5.97620,000
200 lots
119,52050%+1,805241,289
2023-10-20HSI7500solo6.25119,300
193 lots
120,64450%-215241,074
2023-10-24HSI7500solo6.32119,000
190 lots
120,09950%+422241,496
2023-10-26HSTECH7552solo7.11616,900
169 lots
120,26050%-971240,525
2023-10-27HSI7200▲AGREE3.16775,900
759 lots
240,375100%+1,829242,354
2023-10-27HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.04159,900
599 lots
242,056100%-1,942240,412
2023-10-27SL_REV7552▲AGREE6.82017,600
176 lots
120,03250%-3,472236,940
2023-10-30HSI7500solo6.15119,200
192 lots
118,09950%-977235,963
2023-11-02HSI7200solo3.22136,600
366 lots
117,88950%+798236,761
2023-11-03HSI7200solo3.27936,100
361 lots
118,37250%+1,066237,827
2023-11-06HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.66351,000
510 lots
237,813100%+635238,462
2023-11-06HSI7200▲AGREE3.44569,200
692 lots
238,394100%+1,493239,955
2023-11-07HSI7500solo5.74120,800
208 lots
119,41350%+1,018240,973
2023-11-08SL_REV7552solo5.80520,700
207 lots
120,16450%+922241,895
2023-11-08HSTECH7226solo4.66125,900
259 lots
120,72050%-1,026240,869
2023-11-10HSTECH7552▲AGREE6.20138,800
388 lots
240,599100%+2,688243,557
2023-11-10HSI7500▲AGREE6.02140,400
404 lots
243,248100%+1,735245,292
2023-11-13HSTECH7552solo6.21619,700
197 lots
122,45550%-1,058244,234
2023-11-14HSTECH7552solo6.00620,300
203 lots
121,92250%+636244,870
2023-11-17HSI7500solo5.83120,900
209 lots
121,86850%+1,565246,435
2023-11-20HSI7200solo3.33536,900
369 lots
123,06250%+616247,051
2023-11-21HSI7200solo3.44935,800
358 lots
123,47450%+290247,341
2023-11-24HSI7500solo5.66121,800
218 lots
123,41050%+2,624249,965

Monthly Return Breakdown — HKD 200K / HKD 300K / HKD 400K Starting Capital

Month Trades HKD 200K P&L HKD 200K Ret% HKD 200K Equity HKD 300K P&L HKD 300K Ret% HKD 300K Equity HKD 400K P&L HKD 400K Ret% HKD 400K Equity
2023-0714+19,528+9.76%219,528+29,292+9.76%329,292+39,056+9.76%439,056
2023-0818+14,981+6.82%234,509+22,472+6.82%351,764+29,962+6.82%469,018
2023-0916+25,239+10.76%259,748+37,858+10.76%389,622+50,478+10.76%519,496
2023-1017+6,995+2.69%266,743+10,492+2.69%400,114+13,990+2.69%533,486
2023-1118+24,024+9.01%290,767+36,036+9.01%436,150+48,048+9.01%581,534
2023-1212+9,352+3.22%300,119+14,028+3.22%450,178+18,704+3.22%600,238
2024-0116+9,479+3.16%309,598+14,218+3.16%464,396+18,958+3.16%619,196
2024-025-4,497-1.45%305,101-6,746-1.45%457,650-8,994-1.45%610,202
2024-037+8,055+2.64%313,156+12,082+2.64%469,732+16,110+2.64%626,312
2024-0415+28,326+9.05%341,482+42,489+9.05%512,221+56,652+9.05%682,964
2024-0515+14,031+4.11%355,513+21,046+4.11%533,267+28,062+4.11%711,026
2024-0615+14,134+3.98%369,647+21,201+3.98%554,468+28,268+3.98%739,294
2024-0712+16,900+4.57%386,547+25,350+4.57%579,818+33,800+4.57%773,094
2024-0819+10,695+2.77%397,242+16,042+2.77%595,860+21,390+2.77%794,484
2024-0912+14,618+3.68%411,860+21,927+3.68%617,787+29,236+3.68%823,720
2024-102+9,815+2.38%421,675+14,722+2.38%632,509+19,630+2.38%843,350
2024-1110+27,614+6.55%449,289+41,421+6.55%673,930+55,228+6.55%898,578
2024-1210-1,872-0.42%447,417-2,808-0.42%671,122-3,744-0.42%894,834
2025-0113+20,351+4.55%467,768+30,526+4.55%701,648+40,702+4.55%935,536
2025-0211+19,122+4.09%486,890+28,683+4.09%730,331+38,244+4.09%973,780
2025-037+7,023+1.44%493,913+10,534+1.44%740,865+14,046+1.44%987,826
2025-0400.00%493,9130.00%740,8650.00%987,826
2025-056+9,704+1.96%503,617+14,556+1.96%755,421+19,408+1.96%1,007,234
2025-0611+10,055+2.00%513,672+15,082+2.00%770,503+20,110+2.00%1,027,344
2025-0711+8,940+1.74%522,612+13,410+1.74%783,913+17,880+1.74%1,045,224
2025-0813+20,165+3.86%542,777+30,248+3.86%814,161+40,330+3.86%1,085,554
2025-0912+14,521+2.68%557,298+21,782+2.68%835,943+29,042+2.68%1,114,596
2025-107+2,452+0.44%559,750+3,678+0.44%839,621+4,904+0.44%1,119,500
2025-1111+18,076+3.23%577,826+27,114+3.23%866,735+36,152+3.23%1,155,652
2025-128+18,524+3.21%596,350+27,786+3.21%894,521+37,048+3.21%1,192,700
2026-0114+17,335+2.91%613,685+26,002+2.91%920,523+34,670+2.91%1,227,370
2026-0215+20,587+3.35%634,272+30,880+3.35%951,403+41,174+3.35%1,268,544
2026-0317+30,343+4.78%664,615+45,514+4.78%996,917+60,686+4.78%1,329,230
2026-0410-1,055-0.16%663,560-1,582-0.16%995,335-2,110-0.16%1,327,120
2026-054+3,625+0.55%667,185+5,438+0.55%1,000,773+7,250+0.55%1,334,370